Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerRoland Garros Semi-final

Roland Garros · ATP · Semi-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 27 May 2024
clay
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Alcaraz C.
2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3
Sinner J.
Alcaraz C.
263663
Sinner J.
636432

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Jannik Sinner 2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Roland Garros semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 64. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 10–7.

Key context

Head to head

97
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersFclayJannik Sinner7-6(5) 6-3
2025-11-09Tour FinalsFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 7-5
2025-08-25US OpenFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz5-0 RET
2025-06-30WimbledonFgrassJannik Sinner4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosFclayCarlos Alcaraz4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2)
2025-05-07Rome MastersFclayCarlos Alcaraz7-6(5) 6-1
2024-09-26BeijingFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3)
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz1-6 6-3 6-2
2023-09-27BeijingSFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 6-1
2023-03-20Miami MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-7(4) 6-4 6-2
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(4) 6-3
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-7(7) 6-7(0) 7-5 6-3
2022-07-25UmagFclayJannik Sinner6-7(5) 6-1 6-1
2022-06-27WimbledonR16grassJannik Sinner6-1 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(1) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Alcaraz C.Sinner J.
Serve
99
Return
91

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
59%
Service points won·Even
68%
72%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
74%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
7.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 173). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
100
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 2102
Surface ELO
5.1+114 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 2320
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.6
Surface form
7.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Country comfort
5.7
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
59

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[3]
Sinner J.[1]
2-66-33-66-46-3
Zverev A.[2]
Ruud C.[15]
2-66-26-46-2
R128
Misolic F.
Virtanen O.[16]
4-64-66-36-46-2
Djokovic N.[3]
Herbert P.
6-47-636-4
Dimitrov G.[10]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-36-4
Rublev A.[11]
Daniel T.
6-26-736-37-5
Ruud C.[15]
Meligeni Alves F.
6-36-46-3
Musetti L.[30]
Galan D.
6-36-37-5
Kotov P.
Norrie C.[32]
4-66-33-67-656-2
Altmaier D.
Djere L.
7-56-46-765-77-66
Kwon S.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-36-46-3
Marozsan F.
Kukushkin M.
6-26-26-3
Rune H.[13]
Evans D.
6-46-46-4
Shapovalov D.
Van Assche L.
6-36-46-4
Korda S.[27]
Mayot H.
6-27-646-4
Machac T.
Borges N.
7-636-46-3
Shevchenko A.
Karatsev A.
6-44-61-66-16-4
Kovalik J.
Giron M.
7-636-43-67-65
Marterer M.
Thompson J.
6-36-26-0
Navone M.[31]
Carreno Busta P.
5-76-16-36-0
Muller A.
Nardi L.
6-46-16-3
Sinner J.[1]
Eubanks C.
6-36-36-4
Zeppieri G.
Mannarino A.[22]
4-66-26-16-2
Bergs Z.
Tabilo A.[24]
3-67-656-26-2
Bublik A.[9]
Barrere G.
6-47-56-3
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
Nishioka Y.
6-26-46-4
Tiafoe F.[19]
Bellucci M.
6-33-66-766-46-4
Griekspoor T.[29]
Mcdonald M.[18]
6-36-41-66-2
Carballes Baena R.
Lestienne C.
6-37-54-66-2
Gasquet R.
Coric B.
7-657-626-4
Goffin D.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
4-66-46-36-746-3
Kecmanovic M.
Monteiro T.
6-26-14-67-5
Kokkinakis T.
Popyrin A.
4-67-686-35-76-3
Cobolli F.[10]
Medjedovic H.
6-26-36-726-3
Darderi L.[14]
Hijikata R.
6-37-666-1
Lajovic D.[20]
Safiullin R.
4-67-56-46-766-4
Monfils G.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-23-66-36-4
Munar J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-14-66-46-1
Nishikori K.
Diallo G.
7-57-633-61-67-5
Ofner S.
Atmane T.
3-64-67-626-27-5
Squire H.
Purcell M.
6-26-23-64-67-610
Struff J.
Burruchaga R.
6-36-26-1
Martinez P.[24]
Tirante T.
5-76-43-66-46-3
Nakashima B.[31]
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-16-766-36-2
Wawrinka S.
Murray A.
6-46-46-2
Zhang Z.
Vukic A.
6-44-66-37-5
Cerundolo F.[25]
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-36-4
Baez S.[20]
Heide G.
4-66-36-14-66-3
De Jong J.
Draper J.
7-56-46-733-66-3
Arnaldi M.
Fils A.[29]
6-34-66-46-2
Fognini F.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-16-17-5
Hurkacz H.[8]
Mochizuki S.[19]
4-66-33-66-06-3
Tsitsipas S.[9]
Fucsovics M.
7-676-46-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Wolf J.
6-16-26-1
Moutet C.[30]
Jarry N.[16]
6-26-13-66-0
De Minaur A.[8]
Michelsen A.
6-16-06-2
Fritz T.[7]
Coria F.
2-66-16-26-1
Shelton B.[5]
Gaston H.
3-66-36-46-4
Khachanov K.[13]
Nagal S.
6-26-07-65
Etcheverry T.[23]
Cazaux A.
3-66-26-16-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
Vacherot V.[16]
4-66-26-27-62
Medvedev D.[6]
Koepfer D.
6-36-45-76-3
Sonego L.
Humbert U.[32]
6-42-66-46-3
Rinderknech A.[22]
Walton A.
6-26-47-5
Paul T.[24]
Cachin P.
6-26-36-1
Zverev A.[2]
Nadal R.
6-37-656-3