Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz — Miami Masters Semi-final

Miami Masters · ATP · Semi-final
Jannik Sinner
ITA10
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP1
Carlos Alcaraz
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Sinner J.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Alcaraz C.
Sinner J.
64662
Alcaraz C.
77421

Jannik Sinner defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Miami Masters semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, defending last year's quarter-final. Jannik Sinner narrowed the head-to-head to 10–7.

Key context

Head to head

6–10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersFclayJannik Sinner7-6(5) 6-3
2025-11-09Tour FinalsFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 7-5
2025-08-25US OpenFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz5-0 RET
2025-06-30WimbledonFgrassJannik Sinner4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosFclayCarlos Alcaraz4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2)
2025-05-07Rome MastersFclayCarlos Alcaraz7-6(5) 6-1
2024-09-26BeijingFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosSFclayCarlos Alcaraz2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz1-6 6-3 6-2
2023-09-27BeijingSFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 6-1
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(4) 6-3
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-7(7) 6-7(0) 7-5 6-3
2022-07-25UmagFclayJannik Sinner6-7(5) 6-1 6-1
2022-06-27WimbledonR16grassJannik Sinner6-1 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(1) 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Alcaraz C.
100
Serve
74
100
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Alcaraz C.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
58%
57%
Service points won·Even
71%
68%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
74%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.4
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Alcaraz C.
Clutch Rating·Even
100
98
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Alcaraz C.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+175 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 2088
5.7Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 2162
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.5
Surface form
8.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
10.011-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.5
Minutes 14d
4.8
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.5
Country comfort
6.8
Context
7.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Alcaraz C.
Freshness·
59
—

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%
Final
Medvedev D.[4]
Sinner J.[10]
7-56-3
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[10]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-746-46-2
Medvedev D.[4]
Khachanov K.[14]
7-653-66-3
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Fritz T.[9]
6-46-2
Khachanov K.[14]
Cerundolo F.[25]
6-36-2
Sinner J.[10]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-36-1
Medvedev D.[4]
Eubanks C.
6-37-5
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Paul T.[16]
6-46-4
Eubanks C.
Mannarino A.
7-627-65
Fritz T.[9]
Rune H.[7]
6-36-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Van De Zandschulp B.[26]
4-66-47-5
Medvedev D.[4]
Halys Q.
6-46-2
Cerundolo F.[25]
Sonego L.
3-66-36-2
Khachanov K.[14]
Tsitsipas S.[2]
7-646-4
Sinner J.[10]
Rublev A.[6]
6-26-4
R32
Mannarino A.
Hurkacz H.[8]
7-657-60
Medvedev D.[4]
Molcan A.
W/O
Eubanks C.
Barrere G.
6-37-67
Cerundolo F.[25]
Auger Aliassime F.[5]
6-27-5
Sinner J.[10]
Dimitrov G.[21]
6-36-4
Halys Q.
Mcdonald M.
7-626-3
Sonego L.
Tiafoe F.[12]
6-36-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Lajovic D.
6-07-65
Paul T.[16]
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
6-37-5
Fritz T.[9]
Shapovalov D.[24]
6-46-4
Rune H.[7]
Schwartzman D.[31]
6-46-2
Ruusuvuori E.
Daniel T.
6-37-63
Rublev A.[6]
Kecmanovic M.[29]
6-16-2
Khachanov K.[14]
Lehecka J.
6-26-4
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Garin C.
6-34-66-4
Van De Zandschulp B.[26]
Ruud C.[3]
3-66-46-4
R64
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
Nakashima B.
6-47-65
Paul T.[16]
Huesler M.
5-76-36-4
Fritz T.[9]
Nava E.
6-46-1
Rune H.[7]
Fucsovics M.
6-37-5
Ruud C.[3]
Ivashka I.
6-26-3
Van De Zandschulp B.[26]
Popyrin A.
4-67-646-2
Dimitrov G.[21]
Struff J.
4-67-656-4
Kecmanovic M.[29]
Humbert U.
6-46-757-63
Hurkacz H.[8]
Kokkinakis T.
6-7107-677-66
Mannarino A.
Shelton B.[32]
6-43-66-1
Eubanks C.
Coric B.[17]
3-66-46-2
Halys Q.
De Minaur A.[15]
6-757-637-68
Barrere G.
Norrie C.[11]
6-36-2
Mcdonald M.
Berrettini M.[19]
7-687-65
Medvedev D.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-16-2
Auger Aliassime F.[5]
Monteiro T.
7-657-68
Sonego L.
Evans D.[23]
4-66-36-2
Tiafoe F.[12]
Watanuki Y.
6-757-636-4
Tsitsipas S.[2]
Gasquet R.
W/O
Khachanov K.[14]
Etcheverry T.
6-13-66-3
Lehecka J.
Musetti L.[18]
6-46-4
Garin C.
Baez S.[27]
7-626-3
Rublev A.[6]
Wolf J.
7-636-4
Cerundolo F.[25]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-4
Molcan A.
Nishioka Y.[28]
7-651-66-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Bagnis F.
6-06-2
Lajovic D.
Cressy M.[30]
6-47-62
Schwartzman D.[31]
Wu Y.
7-616-1
Ruusuvuori E.
Bautista Agut R.[22]
6-47-65
Daniel T.
Zverev A.[13]
6-06-4
Sinner J.[10]
Djere L.
6-46-2
Shapovalov D.[24]
Pella G.
6-33-66-3
R128
Bagnis F.
Meligeni Alves F.
6-31-66-4
Pella G.
Varillas J.
1-66-36-2
Popyrin A.
Ymer M.
7-654-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Borges N.
6-16-4
Djere L.
Vukic A.
6-27-63
Wolf J.
Bublik A.
7-56-3
Kokkinakis T.
Bergs Z.
4-66-37-67
Mannarino A.
Shang J.
1-66-46-2
Halys Q.
Martinez P.
6-27-64
Mcdonald M.
Galan D.
6-46-2
Molcan A.
Thompson J.
6-24-66-3
Sonego L.
Thiem D.
7-676-2
Watanuki Y.
Paire B.
6-47-5
Etcheverry T.
Kotov P.
6-26-2
Daniel T.
Rinderknech A.
4-1
Humbert U.
Monfils G.
3-3
Carballes Baena R.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-03-0
Nakashima B.
Otte O.
7-636-3
Kovacevic A.
Munar J.
7-642-66-1
Struff J.
Fognini F.
6-45-76-4
Eubanks C.
Kudla D.
7-626-2
Nava E.
Isner J.
7-657-64
Lajovic D.
Murray A.
6-47-5
Huesler M.
Ramos A.
6-747-626-3
Wu Y.
Edmund K.
7-57-5
Ivashka I.
Altmaier D.
6-26-1
Barrere G.
Safiullin R.
6-43-66-3
Monteiro T.
Kubler J.
6-47-66
Lehecka J.
Coria F.
6-36-4
Garin C.
Giron M.
6-42-66-4
Gasquet R.
Oconnell C.
6-43-66-1
Fucsovics M.
Cachin P.
6-47-62