Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerCincinnati Masters Final

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
Alcaraz C.
5-0
Sinner J.
Alcaraz C.
5
Sinner J.
0

Carlos Alcaraz advanced when Jannik Sinner retired 5-0 in the Cincinnati Masters final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 10–7.

Head to head

97
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersFclayJannik Sinner7-6(5) 6-3
2025-11-09Tour FinalsFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 7-5
2025-08-25US OpenFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4
2025-06-30WimbledonFgrassJannik Sinner4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosFclayCarlos Alcaraz4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2)
2025-05-07Rome MastersFclayCarlos Alcaraz7-6(5) 6-1
2024-09-26BeijingFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosSFclayCarlos Alcaraz2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz1-6 6-3 6-2
2023-09-27BeijingSFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 6-1
2023-03-20Miami MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-7(4) 6-4 6-2
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(4) 6-3
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-7(7) 6-7(0) 7-5 6-3
2022-07-25UmagFclayJannik Sinner6-7(5) 6-1 6-1
2022-06-27WimbledonR16grassJannik Sinner6-1 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(1) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Sinner J.
74
Serve
100
95
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
59%
Service points won·Even
68%
72%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
74%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
7.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
100
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 38 days (−0.7)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 38 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 2088
Surface ELO
5.9+175 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 2320
6.4
H2H
3.6
6.4
Surface form
10.0
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Country comfort
6.8
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
55

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 94 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sinner J.[1]
5-0