Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz — Wimbledon Final

Wimbledon · ATP · Final
Jannik Sinner
ITA1
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2088Grass ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
grass
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP2
Carlos Alcaraz
#2ATP
2162ELO
2029Grass ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Sinner J.
4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4
Alcaraz C.
Sinner J.
46663
Alcaraz C.
64441

Jannik Sinner defeated Carlos Alcaraz 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 in the Wimbledon final on grass. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, defending last year's quarter-final. Jannik Sinner narrowed the head-to-head to 10–7.

Key context

Head to head

6–10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersFclayJannik Sinner7-6(5) 6-3
2025-11-09Tour FinalsFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 7-5
2025-08-25US OpenFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz5-0 RET
2025-05-26Roland GarrosFclayCarlos Alcaraz4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2)
2025-05-07Rome MastersFclayCarlos Alcaraz7-6(5) 6-1
2024-09-26BeijingFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosSFclayCarlos Alcaraz2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz1-6 6-3 6-2
2023-09-27BeijingSFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 6-1
2023-03-20Miami MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-7(4) 6-4 6-2
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(4) 6-3
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-7(7) 6-7(0) 7-5 6-3
2022-07-25UmagFclayJannik Sinner6-7(5) 6-1 6-1
2022-06-27WimbledonR16grassJannik Sinner6-1 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(1) 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Alcaraz C.
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
59%
57%
Service points won·Even
72%
68%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.3
5.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Alcaraz C.
Clutch Rating·Even
100
98
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Alcaraz C.
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4+59 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.6Grass Elo 2029
5.7Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 2162
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
10.0
0.0
Win streak
10.020-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
4.0
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
7.4
Context
7.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Alcaraz C.
Freshness·
59
—

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Alcaraz C.[2]
4-66-46-46-4
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[2]
Fritz T.[6]
6-45-76-37-66
Sinner J.[1]
Djokovic N.[7]
6-36-36-4
Quarter-finals
Fritz T.[6]
Khachanov K.[19]
6-36-41-67-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Cobolli F.[9]
6-766-27-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Norrie C.[26]
6-26-36-3
Sinner J.[1]
Shelton B.[4]
7-626-46-4
R16
Cobolli F.[9]
Cilic M.
6-46-46-747-63
Norrie C.[26]
Jarry N.
6-37-646-776-756-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Rublev A.[12]
6-756-36-46-4
Khachanov K.[19]
Majchrzak K.
6-46-26-3
Djokovic N.[7]
De Minaur A.[5]
1-66-46-46-4
Shelton B.[4]
Sonego L.
3-66-17-617-5
Sinner J.[1]
Dimitrov G.
3-65-72-2
Fritz T.[6]
Thompson J.
6-13-0
R32
Sinner J.[1]
Martinez P.[19]
6-16-36-1
De Minaur A.[5]
Holmgren A.[24]
6-47-656-3
Norrie C.[26]
Bellucci M.
7-656-46-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Borges N.
7-664-64-66-37-68
Fritz T.[6]
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
6-46-36-756-1
Dimitrov G.
Ofner S.
6-36-47-60
Thompson J.
Darderi L.[14]
6-46-43-66-3
Shelton B.[4]
Fucsovics M.
6-37-646-2
Sonego L.
Nakashima B.[28]
6-757-687-623-67-63
Majchrzak K.
Rinderknech A.[25]
6-37-647-66
Jarry N.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-36-43-67-64
Djokovic N.[7]
Kecmanovic M.
6-36-06-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Struff J.
6-13-66-36-4
Cilic M.
Munar J.
6-33-66-26-4
Rublev A.[12]
Mannarino A.
7-56-26-3
Cobolli F.[9]
Mensik J.[15]
6-26-46-2
R64
Holmgren A.[24]
Machac T.[21]
7-656-786-757-57-65
Sonego L.
Basilashvili N.[6]
6-16-36-737-64
Martinez P.[19]
Navone M.
7-57-57-66
Alcaraz C.[2]
Tarvet O.
6-16-46-4
Khachanov K.[19]
Mochizuki S.
1-67-674-66-36-4
Borges N.
Harris B.
6-36-47-67
Shelton B.[4]
Hijikata R.
6-27-56-4
Bellucci M.
Lehecka J.[13]
7-646-17-5
Djokovic N.[7]
Evans D.
6-36-26-0
Rublev A.[12]
Harris L.
6-716-47-656-3
Rinderknech A.[25]
Garin C.
3-66-37-634-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-14-66-37-65
Struff J.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
3-67-696-36-4
Norrie C.[26]
Tiafoe F.[17]
4-66-46-37-5
Darderi L.[14]
Fery A.
6-46-36-3
Jarry N.
Tien L.[16]
6-26-26-3
Ofner S.
Paul T.[21]
1-67-56-47-5
Cobolli F.[9]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-17-666-2
Nakashima B.[28]
Opelka R.
7-56-26-766-3
Fucsovics M.
Monfils G.
6-41-64-67-656-4
Cilic M.
Draper J.[4]
6-46-31-66-4
Mannarino A.
Royer V.
6-46-45-77-61
Thompson J.
Bonzi B.
7-56-724-66-26-4
Munar J.
Marozsan F.
6-26-37-69
Kecmanovic M.
De Jong J.
1-66-36-26-4
Sinner J.[1]
Vukic A.
6-16-16-3
Fritz T.[6]
Diallo G.
3-66-37-604-66-3
De Minaur A.[5]
Cazaux A.
4-66-26-46-0
Majchrzak K.
Quinn E.
6-16-46-3
Fonseca J.[24]
Brooksby J.
6-45-76-26-4
Mensik J.[15]
Giron M.
6-43-66-47-64
Dimitrov G.
Moutet C.
7-54-67-57-5
R128
Basilashvili N.[6]
Musetti L.[7]
6-24-67-56-1
Moutet C.
Comesana F.[1]
6-46-46-2
Martinez P.[19]
Loffhagen G.
2-66-26-46-2
Holmgren A.[24]
Halys Q.
7-646-36-4
Quinn E.
Searle H.
4-66-27-6116-2
Tarvet O.
Riedi L.
6-46-46-4
Harris B.
Lajovic D.
6-36-26-4
Sonego L.
Faria J.
6-36-46-2
Mensik J.[15]
Gaston H.
6-14-66-26-2
Darderi L.[14]
Safiullin R.
7-631-66-726-36-1
Khachanov K.[19]
Mcdonald M.
7-56-46-4
Mochizuki S.
Zeppieri G.
2-63-66-37-667-5
Nakashima B.[28]
Yunchaokete B.[3]
6-44-67-616-4
Paul T.[21]
Monday J.
6-46-46-2
Djokovic N.[7]
Muller A.
6-16-776-26-2
Tiafoe F.[17]
Moller E.
6-36-46-2
Tien L.[16]
Basavareddy N.
7-656-36-2
Bonzi B.
Medvedev D.[8]
7-623-67-636-2
Shelton B.[4]
Bolt A.
6-47-617-64
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Duckworth J.
6-23-66-726-46-4
Rinderknech A.[25]
Zverev A.[2]
7-636-786-36-756-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Arnaldi M.[32]
7-647-656-4
Rublev A.[12]
Djere L.
6-07-656-797-66
Borges N.
Cerundolo F.[18]
4-66-37-656-0
Monfils G.
Humbert U.[27]
6-43-66-757-56-2
Pinnington Jones J.
Etcheverry T.[29]
7-646-37-5
Norrie C.[26]
Bautista Agut R.
6-33-66-47-63
De Minaur A.[5]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-27-62
Lehecka J.[13]
Dellien H.
4-66-26-27-60
Dimitrov G.
Nishioka Y.
6-26-36-4
Fery A.
Popyrin A.[20]
6-46-14-66-4
Fonseca J.[24]
Fearnley J.
6-46-17-65
Cobolli F.[9]
Zhukayev B.
6-37-676-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Holt B.
6-26-47-5
Ofner S.
Medjedovic H.
7-683-1
Draper J.[4]
Baez S.
6-26-22-1
Royer V.
Tsitsipas S.[24]
6-36-2
Harris L.
Bergs Z.
7-677-626-756-2
Opelka R.
Shevchenko A.
6-37-57-64
Giron M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-667-646-3
De Jong J.
Eubanks C.
6-36-756-776-37-63
Diallo G.
Altmaier D.
6-16-26-4
Munar J.
Bublik A.[10]
6-43-64-67-656-2
Garin C.
Rodesch C.
7-686-46-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Fognini F.
7-56-757-52-66-1
Struff J.
Misolic F.
6-25-76-36-3
Jarry N.
Rune H.[8]
4-64-67-56-36-4
Hijikata R.
Goffin D.
6-36-16-1
Machac T.[21]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Kovacevic A.
6-36-756-15-76-4
Navone M.
Shapovalov D.[27]
3-66-46-16-4
Brooksby J.
Griekspoor T.[31]
6-27-56-3
Cazaux A.
Walton A.
6-37-664-66-756-1
Sinner J.[1]
Nardi L.
6-46-36-0
Majchrzak K.
Berrettini M.[32]
4-66-26-45-76-3
Thompson J.
Kopriva V.
3-64-66-37-616-1
Evans D.
Clarke J.
6-17-56-2
Vukic A.
Tseng C.
6-36-44-67-65
Marozsan F.
Mccabe J.
6-16-46-3
Bellucci M.
Crawford O.
6-726-36-46-4
Mannarino A.
Oconnell C.
6-26-46-3
Kecmanovic M.
Michelsen A.[30]
6-23-66-33-67-66
Cilic M.
Collignon R.
6-36-46-3
Fritz T.[6]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-766-786-47-666-4