Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerUS Open Final

US Open · ATP · Final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025
hard
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Alcaraz C.
6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4
Sinner J.
Alcaraz C.
63663
Sinner J.
26141

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Jannik Sinner 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4 in the US Open final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, defending the title. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 10–7.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–2 3–6 6–1 6–4.

Head to head

97
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersFclayJannik Sinner7-6(5) 6-3
2025-11-09Tour FinalsFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 7-5
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz5-0 RET
2025-06-30WimbledonFgrassJannik Sinner4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosFclayCarlos Alcaraz4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2)
2025-05-07Rome MastersFclayCarlos Alcaraz7-6(5) 6-1
2024-09-26BeijingFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3)
2024-05-27Roland GarrosSFclayCarlos Alcaraz2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz1-6 6-3 6-2
2023-09-27BeijingSFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 6-1
2023-03-20Miami MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-7(4) 6-4 6-2
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(4) 6-3
2022-08-29US OpenQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-7(7) 6-7(0) 7-5 6-3
2022-07-25UmagFclayJannik Sinner6-7(5) 6-1 6-1
2022-06-27WimbledonR16grassJannik Sinner6-1 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(1) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Sinner J.
74
Serve
100
95
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
59%
Service points won·Even
68%
72%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
74%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
7.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
100
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
100
100
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
43

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

Final
Alcaraz C.
Sinner J.
6-23-66-16-4
R128
Bellucci M.
Shang J.
7-601-66-33-0
Norrie C.
Korda S.
7-56-4
Sinner J.
Kopriva V.
6-16-16-2
Giron M.
Navone M.
6-07-54-65-76-4
Rinderknech A.
Carballes Baena R.
7-627-54-66-2
Ruud C.
Ofner S.
6-16-27-65
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-16-2
Collignon R.
Galan D.
6-46-46-4
Harris L.
Baez S.
6-37-56-4
Darderi L.
Hijikata R.
6-26-16-2
Kym J.
Quinn E.
6-36-23-67-65
Cobolli F.
Passaro F.
7-54-66-43-66-3
Popyrin A.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-36-47-63
Royer V.
Yunchaokete B.
6-16-47-61
Svajda Z.
Piros Z.
6-46-27-5
Spizzirri E.
Dostanic S.
7-56-47-64
Bonzi B.
Medvedev D.
6-37-56-750-66-4
Etcheverry T.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-36-26-0
Bublik A.
Cilic M.
6-46-16-4
Schoolkate T.
Sonego L.
6-37-681-61-67-66
Borges N.
Holt B.
6-46-26-3
Paul T.
Moller E.
6-36-36-1
Musetti L.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-736-36-46-4
Goffin D.
Halys Q.
6-726-46-37-5
Brooksby J.
Vukic A.
6-36-746-43-66-4
Fearnley J.
Bautista Agut R.
7-56-25-76-4
Walton A.
Humbert U.
6-47-645-76-1
Wong C.
Kovacevic A.
6-47-57-64
Boyer T.
Duckworth J.
6-37-56-4
Altmaier D.
Medjedovic H.
7-56-737-676-756-4
Mochizuki S.
Gaston H.
6-46-36-4
Comesana F.
Michelsen A.
1-66-36-46-4
Struff J.
Mcdonald M.
3-67-646-36-3
Safiullin R.
Monfils G.
6-42-66-13-66-4
Zverev A.
Tabilo A.
6-27-646-4
Draper J.
Gomez F.
6-47-56-776-2
Bergs Z.
Tseng C.
6-36-46-3
Rune H.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-37-647-62
Munar J.
Faria J.
6-06-35-76-2
Diallo G.
Dzumhur D.
7-644-67-57-5
Shapovalov D.
Fucsovics M.
6-46-46-0
Khachanov K.
Basavareddy N.
6-756-37-56-1
Rublev A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-46-4
Mensik J.
Jarry N.
7-656-36-4
Fonseca J.
Kecmanovic M.
7-637-656-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Harris B.
6-47-686-4
Machac T.
Nardi L.
6-36-16-1
Majchrzak K.
Dellien H.
6-16-46-756-4
Lehecka J.
Coric B.
3-66-47-656-1
Mannarino A.
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-0
Thompson J.
Moutet C.
6-26-41-66-3
De Minaur A.
Oconnell C.
6-36-46-4
Carreno Busta P.
Llamas Ruiz P.
7-676-46-2
Shelton B.
Buse I.
6-36-26-4
Fritz T.
Nava E.
7-56-26-3
Nakashima B.
De Jong J.
6-26-752-66-27-67
Blanchet U.
Marozsan F.
6-43-67-676-2
Damm M.
Blanch D.
6-36-46-4
Tiafoe F.
Nishioka Y.
6-37-666-3
Riedi L.
Martinez P.
6-46-26-3
Alcaraz C.
Opelka R.
6-47-56-4
Cerundolo F.
Arnaldi M.
3-62-67-56-46-3
Tsitsipas S.
Muller A.
4-66-06-17-65
Djokovic N.
Tien L.
6-17-636-2