UMPIRY

Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi — Tokyo Round of 16

TokyoR16HardSat 3 Oct · 12:30Final1h 45m
Carlos Alcaraz(1)ATP #3 · ESP
Matteo ArnaldiATP #38 · ITA
SetsGames2
786
0
661

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Matteo Arnaldi in the Round of 16 at the Tokyo tournament, winning 7-6, 6-1 on hard courts. Alcaraz converted 43% of his break points and made 3 service breaks to Arnaldi's 1. He also had an 81% first-serve win percentage compared to Arnaldi's 62%.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

How the match was decided

Auto-generated

Alcaraz C. took it in straight sets, with three breaks of serve.

  • Breaks of serveAlcaraz C. 3 · Arnaldi M. 1
  • 1st-serve points wonAlcaraz C. 81% · Arnaldi M. 62%
  • AcesAlcaraz C. 1 · Arnaldi M. 1

Turning points

When the match moved
  1. Set 12–2Break backArnaldi M. · Broke back
  2. Set 22–0BreakAlcaraz C. · Broke, never broken back
Serve flowAlcaraz C. broken once · Arnaldi M. broken 3 times.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Alcaraz C.
9/10Arnaldi M.
6/9
Set 1Set 2

Match momentum

Whole matchAlcaraz C.Arnaldi M.
EvenAlcaraz C.Arnaldi M.
Late momentumAlcaraz C.60
6Last 12 points6
11Last 3 games8
3/7Break points1/3

Break of serve

Match statistics

Alcaraz C.Arnaldi M.
Serve
  • 1Aces1
  • 1Double faults1
  • 81%1st serve points won62%
  • 90% · 9/10Service games held67% · 6/9
Return
  • 43%Break points won33%
  • 3Breaks of serve1

Serve & return performance

Key performance gaps
First-serve pointsAlcaraz C. won 81% of points behind the first serve, Arnaldi M. 62%. Largest performance gap of the match.+19 ptsAlcaraz C.1st-serve pts won81%Arnaldi M.1st-serve pts won62%

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months
All 3 opponents →

Alcaraz C. and Arnaldi M. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Alcaraz C. went 4–0 (100%) against them, Arnaldi M. 1–2 (33%). Alcaraz C. came out better against 2 of 3 comparable opponents, Arnaldi M. against 0 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).

4–0100%Alcaraz C. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents1–233%Arnaldi M. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
10–0Sets3–5
63–32Games33–43
2–0Tiebreaks2–0
0–0Deciding sets1–1

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Alcaraz C. leads 3–0
Full H2H →
30

Draw

Closing odds

Next up

vs Shapovalov D.View match

Player context

Before the match
Alcaraz C.Arnaldi M.2 441ELO1 9142 223Hard ELO1 7299–1Last 104–623Age25183 cmHeight185 cmRightPlaysRightCareer $65.0M2026 $4.4MEarningsCareer $6.0M2026 $1.5M

Match info

  • Started12:30 local
  • Duration1h 45m

Cite this

Carlos Alcaraz beat Matteo Arnaldi 7-6(6) 6-1. Umpiry, "Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi — Tokyo Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-03/alcaraz-vs-arnaldi-tokyo-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 3 October 2026).