Alexander Zverev vs Matteo ArnaldiVienna Round of 16

Vienna · ATP · Round of 16
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Zverev A.
6-4 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Zverev A.
662
Arnaldi M.
440

Alexander Zverev defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-4 in the Vienna round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexander Zverev edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27Canada MastersR32hardAlexander Zverev6-7(5) 6-3 6-2
2025-02-24AcapulcoR32hardAlexander Zverev6-7(2) 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve advantage — Zverev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Arnaldi M.
71
Serve
23
42
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.8
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (110 vs 60). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
90
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
86
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.4+309 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.6Hard Elo 1732
9.4Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1830
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.8
Surface form
3.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
45
94

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 134 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
10°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 61%