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Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar — Tour Finals Round Robin

Tour FinalsRound RobinHardSun 15 Nov · 14:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Zverev A.
72%28%

Clear edge for Zverev A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Zverev A.6.8/10
Slight advantage
Jodar R.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+169 Hard Elo edgeSupports Zverev A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 2100Supports Zverev A.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO2 286
Hard ELO2 108
Last 107–3
Age29
Height198 cm
EarningsCareer $68.6M2026 $9.0M
ELO2 083
Hard ELO1 868
Last 107–3
Age20
Height191 cm
EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $2.5M

Alexander Zverev faces Rafael Jodar in the Tour Finals round robin on hard. Alexander Zverev holds the paper edge — ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round-robin. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

21 shared · last 12 months

Zverev A. and Jodar R. faced 21 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Zverev A. went 21–10 (68%) against them, Jodar R. 20–8 (71%). Results against comparable opponents are close (6 : 2 better-results split).

21–1068%Zverev A. · better vs 6Record vs common opponents20–871%Jodar R. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
56–31Sets43–24
482–397Games358–286
10–9Tiebreaks4–8
6–5Deciding sets7–3
Show 18 more ▾Show less ▴

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Zverev A. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Zverev A.Jodar R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate79% (65–17) (ahead)74% (58–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2286 (ahead)2083
Hard-court ELO2108 (ahead)1868
Serve vs returnLast 80 vs 73 matches
1st-serve points won77% (ahead)70%
Return points won37%41% (ahead)
Aces / match10.3 (ahead)4.4
ClutchLast 80 vs 73 matches
Break points saved63%63%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast12°C · Rain
Wind30 km/h
Humidity91%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Zverev A.Jodar R.
11Days since last match12 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days2
21 — fresherGames · 14 days36
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar — Tour Finals Round Robin", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/jodar-vs-zverev-tour-finals-rr?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).