Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar — Shanghai Masters Round of 16
Why
Surface+162 Hard Elo edgeSupports Jodar R.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1999Supports Jodar R.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Van De Zandschulp B.
This eventReached the R128 here last yearAgainst the prediction · Van De Zandschulp B.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO2 032
Hard ELO1 910
Last 107–3
Age31
Height191 cm
EarningsCareer $7.0M2026 $1.0M
ELO2 066
Hard ELO1 839
Last 106–4
Age20
Height191 cm
EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $2.5M
Botic Van De Zandschulp faces Rafael Jodar in the Shanghai Masters round of 16 on hard. Rafael Jodar is the paper favourite — ranked #13, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage — but Botic Van De Zandschulp rides a 3-match win streak. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Botic Van De Zandschulp comes in with 1 days of rest and 119 games in 14d, vs Rafael Jodar's 1 and 76.
- Last match: Rafael Jodar dropped the opening set before beating Jiri Lehecka 4–6 7–6 6–4.
- Last match: Botic Van De Zandschulp edged Arthur Fils in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Common opponents
13 shared · last 12 monthsVan De Zandschulp B. and Jodar R. faced 13 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Van De Zandschulp B. went 9–6 (60%) against them, Jodar R. 8–6 (57%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 2 better-results split).
9–660%Van De Zandschulp B. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents8–657%Jodar R. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
23–16Sets18–16
209–181Games170–162
4–4Tiebreaks3–3
1–2Deciding sets2–1
vs Zverev A.#2L2-6 5-7 1-6US Open · hardL1-6 3-6Roland Garros · clay
vs De Minaur A.#9W6-4 7-5 6-2US Open · hardW6-3 6-1Madrid Masters · clay
vs Fils A.#10W7-5 6-4Shanghai Masters · hardW7-6 6-3Montreal · hard
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vs Fritz T.#12L3-6 7-6 3-6Miami Masters · hardL6-7(2) 4-6Washington · hard
vs Mensik J.#15L4-6 5-7Montreal · hardL2-6 4-6 4-6Australian Open · hard- vs Nakashima B.#18W6-3 4-6 7-6 7-6Australian Open · hardL6-7 4-6Montreal · hard
vs Darderi L.#21W6-1 6-0Winston-Salem · hardL6-7 7-5 0-6Rome Masters · clay
vs Fonseca J.#29L4-6 6-7(2)Cincinnati · hardW7-6 4-6 6-1Madrid Masters · clay- vs Michelsen A.#35W6-4 6-4Shanghai Masters · hardW4-6 6-3 6-3Roland Garros · clay
vs Shapovalov D.#42W7-5 6-3Miami Masters · hardW7-5 4-6 7-5Cincinnati · hard
vs Vallejo D.#52W6-2 6-0Winston-Salem · hardL1-6 3-6Tokyo · hard- vs Kovacevic A.#81W2-6 6-2 7-6Rome Masters · clayW6-1 6-0 6-4Roland Garros · clay
- vs Bonzi B.#92L6-7(5) 4-6Winston-Salem · hardW6-4 6-4Miami Masters · hard
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Van De Zandschulp B.Jodar R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate57% (30–23)76% (53–17) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO20322066 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1910 (ahead)1839
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 58 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)70%
Return points won38%41% (ahead)
Aces / match7.3 (ahead)4.2
ClutchLast 47 vs 58 matches
Break points saved62%63% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar — Shanghai Masters Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/jodar-vs-zandschulp-shanghai-masters-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).