Benjamin Bonzi vs Botic Van De ZandschulpWinston-Salem Quarter-final

Winston-Salem · ATP · Quarter-final
#109ATP
1749ELO
1713Hard ELO
$396kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Stadium Court · 1st on
#71ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWL
Bonzi B.
7-6 6-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Bonzi B.
7762
Van De Zandschulp B.
6540

Benjamin Bonzi defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp in the quarterfinals of the Winston-Salem tournament, winning 7-6, 6-4 on hard courts. Bonzi hit 6 aces and 1 double fault, while Van De Zandschulp had 13 aces and 6 double faults. Bonzi converted 15% of break points and won 2 service breaks to Van De Zandschulp's 1.

Around the match

  • Struggling with injury issues this season, posting poor 4-7 ATP record before this week despite reaching QF.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-02PuneSFhardBenjamin Bonzi7-6 6-7 6-1
2022-08-22Winston-SalemQFhardBotic Van De Zandschulp7-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
46%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
68
Break points saved·Even
94
93
Break points won·Dominant
17
51
Deciding sets·Dominant
6
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
82
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Bonzi B.43%
Van De Zandschulp B.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0+2 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1710
5.1Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1743
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
47
76

Bonzi B.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 115 games (7d) · Van De Zandschulp B.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw