Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Jakub MensikMontreal Round of 16

Montreal · ATP · Round of 16
#40ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 10 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#15ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$7.4MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWLW
Van De Zandschulp B.
4-6 5-7
Mensik J.
Van De Zandschulp B.
450
Mensik J.
672

Jakub Mensik defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp in the Round of 16 at the Montreal tournament, winning 6-4, 7-5 on hard courts. Mensik hit 13 aces to Van De Zandschulp's 1 and converted 75% of his break points, compared to Van De Zandschulp's 50%. Mensik won 3 service breaks to Van De Zandschulp's 1.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
11.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
71
76
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Even
53
50
Deciding sets·Even
86
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Van De Zandschulp B.26%
Mensik J.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mensik J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1710
Surface ELO
7.3+182 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
77

Van De Zandschulp B.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mensik J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw