Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Brandon Nakashima — Australian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
Botic Van De Zandschulp
NED
Botic Van De Zandschulp
#54ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
Brandon Nakashima
USA27
Brandon Nakashima
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-3 4-6 7-6 7-6
Nakashima B.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6477773
Nakashima B.
3661631

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-3 4-6 7-6 7-6 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, defending last year's round of 128. Botic Van De Zandschulp extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-04-25MunichR32clayBotic Van De Zandschulp7-6(3) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Van De Zandschulp B.Nakashima B.
41
Serve
61
43
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.Nakashima B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
9.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
0.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Van De Zandschulp B.Nakashima B.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
56
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
68
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Van De Zandschulp B.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Nakashima B.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1711
Surface ELO
5.6+77 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Van De Zandschulp B.Nakashima B.
Freshness·Even
87
84

Van De Zandschulp B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 28%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Djokovic N.[4]
2-66-26-37-5
Semi-finals
Djokovic N.[4]
Sinner J.[2]
3-66-34-66-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Zverev A.[3]
6-47-656-736-747-5
Quarter-finals
Djokovic N.[4]
Musetti L.[5]
4-63-63-1
Sinner J.[2]
Shelton B.[8]
6-36-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
De Minaur A.[6]
7-56-26-1
Zverev A.[3]
Tien L.[25]
6-36-756-17-63
R16
Djokovic N.[4]
Mensik J.[16]
W/O
Zverev A.[3]
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-26-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Paul T.[19]
7-666-47-5
Musetti L.[5]
Fritz T.[9]
6-27-56-4
Tien L.[25]
Medvedev D.[11]
6-46-06-3
Sinner J.[2]
Darderi L.[22]
6-16-37-62
De Minaur A.[6]
Bublik A.[10]
6-46-16-1
Shelton B.[8]
Ruud C.[12]
3-66-46-36-4
R32
Paul T.[19]
Davidovich Fokina A.[14]
6-16-10-0
Ruud C.[12]
Cilic M.
6-46-43-67-5
Cerundolo F.[18]
Rublev A.[13]
6-37-646-3
Medvedev D.[11]
Marozsan F.
6-754-67-56-06-3
Zverev A.[3]
Norrie C.[26]
7-54-66-36-1
Darderi L.[22]
Khachanov K.[15]
7-653-66-36-4
Fritz T.[9]
Wawrinka S.
7-652-66-46-4
Tien L.[25]
Borges N.
7-696-46-2
Mensik J.[16]
Quinn E.
6-27-657-65
Djokovic N.[4]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-47-64
Sinner J.[2]
Spizzirri E.
4-66-36-46-4
De Minaur A.[6]
Tiafoe F.[29]
6-36-47-5
Bublik A.[10]
Etcheverry T.
7-647-656-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Moutet C.[32]
6-26-46-1
Shelton B.[8]
Vacherot V.[30]
6-46-47-65
Musetti L.[5]
Machac T.
5-76-46-25-76-2
R64
Moutet C.[32]
Zheng M.
3-66-16-32-0
Tiafoe F.[29]
Comesana F.
6-46-34-66-2
Spizzirri E.
Wu Y.
6-26-46-744-66-3
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
6-47-656-1
Paul T.[19]
Tirante T.
6-36-46-2
Vacherot V.[30]
Hijikata R.
6-16-34-66-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Hanfmann Y.
7-646-36-2
Shelton B.[8]
Sweeny D.
6-36-26-2
Cilic M.
Shapovalov D.[21]
6-46-36-2
Medvedev D.[11]
Halys Q.
6-796-36-46-2
Bublik A.[10]
Fucsovics M.
7-56-47-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[14]
Opelka R.
6-37-635-74-66-4
Etcheverry T.
Fery A.
7-646-16-3
Khachanov K.[15]
Basavareddy N.
6-16-46-3
Mensik J.[16]
Jodar R.
6-26-46-4
Ruud C.[12]
Munar J.
6-37-56-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Maestrelli F.
6-36-26-2
Darderi L.[22]
Baez S.
6-31-66-46-3
Tien L.[25]
Shevchenko A.
6-25-76-16-0
Wawrinka S.
Gea A.
4-66-33-67-57-63
Zverev A.[3]
Muller A.
6-34-66-36-4
Borges N.
Thompson J.
6-796-36-26-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Shang J.
7-666-26-3
Sinner J.[2]
Duckworth J.
6-16-46-2
Fritz T.[9]
Kopriva V.
6-16-47-64
De Minaur A.[6]
Medjedovic H.
6-756-26-26-1
Machac T.
Tsitsipas S.[31]
6-43-67-657-65
Marozsan F.
Majchrzak K.
6-36-47-65
Musetti L.[5]
Sonego L.
6-36-36-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-26-1
Norrie C.[26]
Nava E.
6-17-634-67-65
Rublev A.[13]
Faria J.
6-46-34-67-5
R128
Borges N.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
3-66-46-40-0
Alcaraz C.[1]
Walton A.
6-37-626-2
Maestrelli F.
Atmane T.
6-43-66-746-16-1
Mensik J.[16]
Carreno Busta P.
7-54-62-67-616-3
Gea A.
Lehecka J.[17]
7-57-617-5
Duckworth J.
Prizmic D.
7-643-61-67-56-3
Etcheverry T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-23-64-66-36-4
Vacherot V.[30]
Damm M.
6-46-46-4
Shelton B.[8]
Humbert U.
6-37-627-65
Basavareddy N.
Oconnell C.
4-67-676-736-26-3
Opelka R.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-46-36-4
Sinner J.[2]
Gaston H.
6-26-10-0
Musetti L.[5]
Collignon R.
4-67-637-53-2
Shapovalov D.[21]
Yunchaokete B.
6-37-636-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[14]
Misolic F.
6-26-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Svajda Z.
7-54-66-47-63
Hijikata R.
Mannarino A.
6-36-36-1
Munar J.
Svrcina D.
3-66-26-757-56-3
Moutet C.[32]
Schoolkate T.
6-47-616-3
Fucsovics M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-656-16-2
Halys Q.
Tabilo A.
6-26-27-62
Fery A.
Cobolli F.[20]
7-616-46-1
Sweeny D.
Monfils G.
6-737-56-47-5
De Minaur A.[6]
Mcdonald M.
6-26-26-3
Machac T.
Dimitrov G.
6-46-46-3
Darderi L.[22]
Garin C.
7-657-57-63
Djokovic N.[4]
Martinez P.
6-36-26-2
Khachanov K.[15]
Michelsen A.
4-66-46-35-76-3
Quinn E.
Griekspoor T.[23]
6-26-36-2
Tirante T.
Vukic A.
7-56-26-2
Faria J.
Blockx A.
6-33-66-36-4
Bublik A.[10]
Brooksby J.
6-46-46-4
Spizzirri E.
Fonseca J.[28]
6-42-66-16-2
Cilic M.
Altmaier D.
6-06-07-63
Baez S.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-43-65-76-3
Fritz T.[9]
Royer V.
7-655-76-16-3
Zverev A.[3]
Diallo G.
6-716-16-46-2
Medjedovic H.
Navone M.
6-26-736-46-2
Nava E.
Jacquet K.
6-27-56-754-67-66
Shevchenko A.
Ymer E.
3-67-56-46-1
Kopriva V.
Struff J.
4-66-22-66-36-1
Marozsan F.
Rinderknech A.[24]
6-36-46-726-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Nakashima B.[27]
6-34-67-617-63
Norrie C.[26]
Bonzi B.
6-06-724-66-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[31]
Mochizuki S.
4-66-36-26-2
Tiafoe F.[29]
Kubler J.
7-646-36-2
Majchrzak K.
Fearnley J.
7-627-53-67-63
Zheng M.
Korda S.
6-46-43-66-706-3
Sonego L.
Taberner C.
6-46-06-3
Muller A.
Popyrin A.
2-66-33-67-657-64
Hurkacz H.
Bergs Z.
6-767-666-36-3
Dzumhur D.
Draxl L.
7-56-06-4
Wawrinka S.
Djere L.
5-76-36-47-64
Wu Y.
Nardi L.
7-54-66-46-2
Rublev A.[13]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-26-3
Ruud C.[12]
Bellucci M.
6-16-26-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Zhang Z.
6-37-606-3
Comesana F.
Kypson P.
6-26-33-66-3
Thompson J.
Cerundolo J.
6-737-56-16-1
Shang J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-726-46-0
Paul T.[19]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-36-3
Jodar R.
Sakamoto R.
7-666-15-74-66-3
Medvedev D.[11]
De Jong J.
7-56-27-62
Tien L.[25]
Giron M.
7-624-63-67-636-2