Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo — US Open Round of 32

US Open · ATP · Round of 32
Alexander Zverev
GER1
Alexander Zverev
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 6 September 2026 ·
hard
Alejandro Tabilo
CHI25
Alejandro Tabilo
#28ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWWL
Zverev A.
6-2 7-6 6-2
Tabilo A.
Zverev A.
67763
Tabilo A.
26220

Alexander Zverev advanced to the Round of 16 at the US Open by defeating Alejandro Tabilo in straight sets, 6-2, 7-6, 6-2. Zverev hit 7 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Tabilo had 5 aces and 1 double fault. Zverev converted 50% of his break points and won 4 service breaks, compared to Tabilo's 25% conversion rate and 2 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • Zverev faces fatigue concerns after playing two consecutive five-set matches extending past 1 a.m., raising questions about his recovery for the third round.

    Umpiry summary — not a quote

    Zverev A.lastwordonsports.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR128hardAlexander Zverev6-2 7-6 6-4
2024-05-06Rome MastersSFclayAlexander Zverev1-6 7-6 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Zverev A.Tabilo A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.1
6.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Zverev A.Tabilo A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
37
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Dominant
89
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
66
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Zverev A.91%
Tabilo A.9%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zverev A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zverev A.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Tabilo A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+292 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1750
8.5Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1819
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Zverev A.Tabilo A.
Freshness·Clear edge
47
68

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 167 games (7d) · Tabilo A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw