Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon GriekspoorWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#30ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLLWW
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
#66ATP
1789ELO
1777Hard ELO
$970kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLLWW
Tabilo A.
vs
Griekspoor T.

Alejandro Tabilo faces Tallon Griekspoor in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Alejandro Tabilo holds the paper edge — ranked #30.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Tabilo A.52%
Griekspoor T.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Tallon Griekspoor has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 57 vs 26).
  • Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
10 common opponents · Tabilo A. 5–8 · Griekspoor T. 4–6
Both lost · same surface · incl. team event
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1750
Surface ELO
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1789
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

34 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tabilo A.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Griekspoor T.

Griekspoor T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
57
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
98
Break points won·Clear edge
24
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
47
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
4
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
77

Tabilo A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw