Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo — Montreal Round of 64
POLPR
CHI25
Hurkacz H.
Hubert Hurkacz faces Alejandro Tabilo in the Montreal round of 64 on hard. Alejandro Tabilo holds the paper edge — ranked #26, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Hubert Hurkacz comes in with 1 days of rest and 30 games in 14d, vs Alejandro Tabilo's 3 and 140.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Hubert Hurkacz has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 67 vs 34).
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadHurkacz H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Tabilo A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.