Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro TabiloIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Medvedev D.
6-4 6-2
Tabilo A.
Medvedev D.
662
Tabilo A.
420

Daniil Medvedev defeated Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Tabilo A.
47
Serve
51
94
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.5
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
74
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
99
59
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+212 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1750
6.9Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1819
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
5.5
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
6.9
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.3
Country comfort
5.6
Surface transition
6.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
96

Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Tabilo A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%