Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro TabiloUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#54ATP
1781ELO
1721Hard ELO
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWL
1 — 3
Sets
Monday, 31 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 6 · 3rd on
#28ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWWL
Hanfmann Y.
3-6 2-6 7-6 3-6
Tabilo A.
Hanfmann Y.
327931
Tabilo A.
666763

Alejandro Tabilo defeated Yannick Hanfmann in the Round of 128 at the US Open. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-2, 6-7, 6-3 in favor of Tabilo. Tabilo converted 50% of his break points and secured 5 service breaks, compared to Hanfmann's 1 service break and 20% break point conversion rate.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Alejandro Tabilo closed it out in four sets, 6–3 6–2 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-12Davis Cup Finals RR: GER vs CHIRRhardYannick Hanfmann7-5 6-4
2024-05-06Rome MastersR64clayAlejandro Tabilo6-3 7-6
2024-02-12Buenos AiresR32clayAlejandro Tabilo6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.7
6.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
46
37
Break points saved·Even
90
93
Break points won·Clear edge
5
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
66
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
26
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Hanfmann Y.45%
Tabilo A.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1721
Surface ELO
5.4+29 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1781
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1819
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
68

Hanfmann Y.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tabilo A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw