Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Shelton — Washington Quarter-final
USA2
Tabilo A.
Alejandro Tabilo faces Ben Shelton in the Washington quarter-final on hard. Ben Shelton holds the paper edge — ranked #8, a roughly 170-point hard Elo advantage.
Around the match
“One of the best atmospheres in tennis”
Shelton B.ATP Tour ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Shelton B. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Alejandro Tabilo comes in with 1 days of rest and 105 games in 14d, vs Ben Shelton's 1 and 62.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Ben Shelton has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 74 vs 26).
- Last match: Ben Shelton dropped the opening set before beating Ugo Humbert 6–7 6–3 6–4.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTabilo A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Shelton B.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.