Rafael Jodar vs Jesper De JongMadrid Masters Round of 128

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#25ATP
1999ELO
1949Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 22 April 2026
clay
#73ATP
1711ELO
1696Clay ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWL
Jodar R.
2-6 7-5 6-4
De Jong J.
Jodar R.
2762
De Jong J.
6541

Rafael Jodar defeated Jesper De Jong 2-6 7-5 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #25.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

De Jong J.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Jodar R.De Jong J.
60
Serve
49
85
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
6.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
56
Break points saved·Even
91
90
Break points won·Dominant
71
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+253 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Clay Elo 1696
9.3Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1711
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
3.4
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
85
92

Jodar R.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · De Jong J.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%