UMPIRY

Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Bublik — Laver Cup - London Round Robin

Laver Cup - LondonRound RobinHardFri 25 Sept · 19:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Jodar R.
58%42%

Jodar R. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Jodar R.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Bublik A.5.9/10
Even match
Why
Surface+36 Hard Elo edgeSupports Jodar R.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1999Supports Jodar R.
Surface switchClay → HardAgainst the prediction · Bublik A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO2 092
Hard ELO1 842
Last 107–3
Age20
Height191 cm
EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $2.5M
ELO2 075
Hard ELO1 896
Last 106–4
Age29
Height196 cm
EarningsCareer $12.7M2026 $1.7M

Rafael Jodar faces Alexander Bublik in the Laver Cup - London round robin on hard. Rafael Jodar holds the paper edge — ranked #14, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Jodar R. and Bublik A. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Jodar R. went 5–2 (71%) against them, Bublik A. 7–4 (64%). Results against comparable opponents are close (2 : 2 better-results split).

5–271%Jodar R. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents7–464%Bublik A. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
10–5Sets16–12
84–56Games148–142
0–1Tiebreaks4–2
1–0Deciding sets2–1
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Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jodar R.Bublik A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate77% (54–16) (ahead)61% (28–18)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2092 (ahead)2075
Hard-court ELO18421896 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 39 matches
1st-serve points won71%77% (ahead)
Return points won41% (ahead)33%
Aces / match4.511.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 45 vs 39 matches
Break points saved62%66% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

19:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast22°C · Overcast
Wind16 km/h
Humidity55%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Jodar R.Bublik A.
5Days since last match20 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
14Games · 7 days0 — fresher
1Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
14Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.