Alexander Bublik vs Corentin Moutet — Paris Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Alexander Bublik
KAZ13
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
Corentin Moutet
FRA
Corentin Moutet
#40ATP
1745ELO
1727Hard ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
Bublik A.
6-3 7-5
Moutet C.
Bublik A.
672
Moutet C.
350

Alexander Bublik defeated Corentin Moutet 6-3 7-5 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-10FlorenceR16hardAlexander Bublik7-5 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Moutet C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Moutet C.
65
Serve
7
25
Return
68

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Moutet C.
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.9
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Moutet C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
82
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Slight edge
67
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Moutet C.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+110 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1727
6.5Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1745
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
6.3
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.6
Country comfort
6.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Moutet C.
Freshness·Clear edge
78
96

Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Moutet C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-06-1
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Bublik A.[13]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Vacherot V.
6-26-2
Bublik A.[13]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-756-47-5
Sinner J.[2]
Shelton B.[5]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[3]
Medvedev D.[11]
2-66-37-65
R16
Shelton B.[5]
Rublev A.[12]
7-666-3
De Minaur A.[6]
Khachanov K.[10]
6-26-2
Zverev A.[3]
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[2]
Cerundolo F.
7-56-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Sonego L.
3-67-656-4
Vacherot V.
Norrie C.
7-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Altmaier D.
3-66-36-2
Bublik A.[13]
Fritz T.[4]
7-656-2
R32
Medvedev D.[11]
Dimitrov G.
W/O
Shelton B.[5]
Cobolli F.
7-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Kecmanovic M.
7-51-67-64
Sinner J.[2]
Bergs Z.
6-46-2
Rublev A.[12]
Tien L.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.[6]
Diallo G.
7-684-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Muller A.
5-77-657-64
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
6-796-36-4
Altmaier D.
Ruud C.[8]
6-37-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Cazaux A.
7-656-4
Sonego L.
Musetti L.[7]
3-66-36-1
Norrie C.
Alcaraz C.[1]
4-66-36-4
Fritz T.[4]
Vukic A.
7-646-2
Bublik A.[13]
Moutet C.
6-37-5
Zverev A.[3]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-756-17-5
Khachanov K.[10]
Fonseca J.
6-13-66-3
R64
Cazaux A.
Darderi L.
7-657-64
Rinderknech A.
Marozsan F.
7-657-64
Vacherot V.
Lehecka J.[14]
6-16-3
Muller A.
Nakashima B.
6-27-5
Bublik A.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-3
Bergs Z.
Michelsen A.
6-32-66-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Etcheverry T.
7-56-3
Diallo G.
Griekspoor T.
6-36-4
Fonseca J.
Shapovalov D.
5-76-46-3
Dimitrov G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-656-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Munar J.
6-16-3
Tien L.
Borges N.
6-27-67
Cerundolo F.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Sonego L.
Korda S.
6-26-3
Cobolli F.
Machac T.
6-16-4
Altmaier D.
Giron M.
6-27-65
Vukic A.
Atmane T.
6-42-66-4
Norrie C.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[12]
Fearnley J.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Comesana F.
6-726-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Kovacevic A.
6-41-67-62
Moutet C.
Opelka R.
3-67-56-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Royer V.
4-66-16-4
Khachanov K.[10]
Quinn E.
6-16-1