Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima | Alexander Bublik Wins 6-7 6-3 7-6

UMPIRY

Shanghai MastersR32HardSun 11 Oct · 17:10Final2h 27m

Alexander Bublik(19)ATP #22 · KAZ

Brandon Nakashima(16)ATP #18 · USA

SetsGames2

6⁷67⁷

7⁹36⁵

Alexander Bublik defeated Brandon Nakashima in the Round of 32 at the Shanghai Masters. Bublik won 6-7, 6-3, 7-6. He hit 22 aces and converted all three of his break points to secure the victory.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Match story: Alexander Bublik dropped the opening set before beating Brandon Nakashima 6–7 6–3 7–6.

How the match was decided

Auto-generated

Bublik A. came through in three sets, with one break of serve.

Breaks of serveBublik A. 1 · Nakashima B. 0
1st-serve points wonBublik A. 83% · Nakashima B. 81%
AcesBublik A. 22 · Nakashima B. 12

Turning points

When the match moved

Set 25–3BreakBublik A. · Broke, never broken back

Win probability during the match

100%Bublik A.

0%Nakashima B.

Final · 6–7 6–3 7–6

6–71–12–23–36–31–12–23–34–45–56–67–6Set 1 · 6–76–3Set 3 · 7–6S2 · 6–3Set 2 · 6–3

Set won by Nakashima B.
Break by Bublik A.
Set won by Bublik A.
Set won by Bublik A.

Alexander BublikBrandon Nakashima

Recorded during the match

Serve flowBublik A. unbroken · Nakashima B. broken once.

Hold to love/15
Hold to 30
Hold to 40 / deuce
Broken
Result unknown

Bublik A.

17/17Nakashima B.

15/16

Set 1Set 2Set 3

Match momentum

Whole matchBublik A.Nakashima B.

Late momentumBublik A.13

7Last 12 points5

9Last 3 games5

1/1Break points0/0

Break of serve

Match statistics

Bublik A.Nakashima B.

Serve

22Aces12
2Double faults2
75% · 73/971st serve %66% · 69/104
83%1st serve points won81%
79% · 19/242nd serve points won49% · 17/35
100% · 17/17Service games held94% · 15/16

Return

30% · 31/104Return points won19% · 18/97
100%Break points won0%
1Breaks of serve0

Serve & return performance

Key performance gaps

AcesBublik A. served 22 aces, Nakashima B. 12. Largest performance gap of the match.+10Bublik A.22Nakashima B.12

Common opponents

11 shared · last 12 months

Bublik A. and Nakashima B. faced 11 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Bublik A. went 8–8 (50%) against them, Nakashima B. 10–4 (71%). Nakashima B. came out better against 5 of 10 comparable opponents, Bublik A. against 2.

8–850%Bublik A. · better vs 2Record vs common opponents10–471%Nakashima B. · better vs 5

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

18–23Sets25–11

208–218Games206–170

5–4Tiebreaks6–3

2–0Deciding sets3–2

vs Tiafoe F.#8W4-6 7-6 7-6 4-6 6-3Wimbledon · grassL5-7 3-6Cincinnati · hard
vs De Minaur A.#9L4-6 1-6 1-6Australian Open · hardW7-5 6-3London · grass
vs Fritz T.#12L6-7 4-6 4-6Wimbledon · grassL3-6 6-3 3-6Washington · hard

Show 8 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Jodar R.#13L2-6 3-6Laver Cup - London · hardW7-6 6-4Montreal · hard
vs Mensik J.#15L4-6 6-7(5)Beijing · hardW6-1 3-6 10-7Laver Cup - London · hard
vs Etcheverry T.#31W6-3 6-4Kitzbuhel · clayW6-3 6-4Washington · hard
vs Berrettini M.#46L4-6 4-6Miami Masters · hardW7-6(4) 7-5Shanghai Masters · hard
vs Baez S.#53W6-1 6-2Rome Masters · clayW6-2 6-1 6-0US Open · hard
vs Struff J.#59W3-6 6-2Stuttgart · grassL6-4 6-7 6-7 7-6 6-7Wimbledon · grass
vs Fucsovics M.#134W7-5 6-4 7-5Australian Open · hardW6-3 6-3London · grass
vs Auger-Aliassime F.#6Hard to compareL6-7 4-6Paris Masters · hardL7-5 1-6Roland Garros · clay

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Bublik A. leads 1–0

Bublik A.October 2026Shanghai MastersThis matchHard6-7(7) 6-3 7-6(5)

Draw

Closing odds

Next up

vs Zverev A.View match

Player context

Before the match

Bublik A.Nakashima B.2 078ELO2 0431 907Hard ELO1 8936–4Last 107–329Age25196 cmHeight188 cmRightPlaysRightCareer $12.7M2026 $1.7MEarningsCareer $9.2M2026 $2.2M

Match info

Started17:10 local
Duration2h 27m

Cite this

Alexander Bublik beat Brandon Nakashima 6-7(7) 6-3 7-6(5). Umpiry, "Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima — Shanghai Masters Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-11/bublik-vs-nakashima-shanghai-masters-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 11 October 2026).