Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry — Kitzbuhel Semi-final
KAZ1
Bublik A.
Alexander Bublik faces Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the Kitzbuhel semi-final on clay. Alexander Bublik holds the paper edge — ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Alexander Bublik has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 78 vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry's 39).
- Serve & return: Alexander Bublik brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 57), Tomas Martin Etcheverry the stronger return game (Return Rating 34).
- Last match: Alexander Bublik dropped just 5 games past Alex Molcan.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBublik A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Etcheverry T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | R32 | hard | Alexander Bublik | 7-6 7-6 6-4 |