UMPIRY

Jakub Mensik vs Brandon Nakashima — Laver Cup - London Round Robin

Laver Cup - LondonRound RobinHardFri 25 Sept · 14:10
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Mensik J.
65%35%

Mensik J. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mensik J.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Nakashima B.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+105 Hard Elo edgeSupports Mensik J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1931Supports Mensik J.
Head-to-headLeads 3–1 on hardSupports Mensik J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO2 086
Hard ELO1 931
Last 106–4
Age21
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $7.4M2026 $2.5M
ELO2 007
Hard ELO1 856
Last 107–3
Age25
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $9.2M2026 $2.2M

Jakub Mensik faces Brandon Nakashima in the Laver Cup - London round robin on hard. Jakub Mensik holds the paper edge — ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 3–1, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

8 shared · last 12 months
All 8 opponents →

Mensik J. and Nakashima B. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Mensik J. went 6–5 (55%) against them, Nakashima B. 4–5 (44%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 1 better-results split).

6–555%Mensik J. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents4–544%Nakashima B. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
18–13Sets10–12
155–148Games118–122
2–2Tiebreaks2–5
1–2Deciding sets1–1
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Head-to-head

4 meetings · Mensik J. leads 3–1
Full H2H →
31

Evidence

Mensik J.Nakashima B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate64% (34–19) (ahead)63% (34–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2086 (ahead)2007
Hard-court ELO1931 (ahead)1856
Serve vs returnLast 35 vs 28 matches
1st-serve points won77%78% (ahead)
Return points won37% (ahead)34%
Aces / match11.5 (ahead)10.7
ClutchLast 35 vs 28 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:10 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast23°C · Clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity55%