Jakub Mensik vs Brandon NakashimaCanberra CH Semi-final

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#18ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Mensik J.
7-5 7-5
Nakashima B.
Mensik J.
772
Nakashima B.
550

Jakub Mensik defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-5 7-5 in the Canberra CH semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jakub Mensik came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jakub Mensik extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-15Australian OpenQ1hardJakub Mensik6-4 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Mensik J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mensik J.Nakashima B.
42
Serve
61
51
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
11.2
8.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (146 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
56
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
77
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.5+105 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1788
6.6Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
7.8
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
86

Mensik J.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast