Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor FritzWashington Semi-final

Washington · ATP · Semi-final
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 4th on
#9ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Nakashima B.
3-6 6-3 3-6
Fritz T.
Nakashima B.
3631
Fritz T.
6362

Taylor Fritz defeated Brandon Nakashima in the semifinals of the Washington tournament, advancing with a 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 victory. Fritz converted 67 percent of his break points, compared to Nakashima's 25 percent, and secured two service breaks to Nakashima's one. The match saw Fritz serve 13 aces and commit two double faults, while Nakashima had 14 aces and also two double faults.

Around the match

  • Fritz's knee tendinitis flared up again during his quarterfinal victory, putting his semifinal status in doubt.

  • He's a very quick and explosive player. I knew I had to serve well at the crucial moments and try to be aggressive.

    Nakashima B.Flashscore.com

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Taylor Fritz closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09DallasR16hardTaylor Fritz6-3 6-4
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR64hardBrandon Nakashima6-4 4-6 7-6
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardTaylor Fritz6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassTaylor Fritz7-5 3-6 6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
69%
72%
Return points won·Even
34%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.7
15.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
0.8
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
34
77
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
3
36
Deciding sets·Dominant
31
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Nakashima B.30%
Fritz T.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fritz T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1788
Surface ELO
5.6+51 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1909
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
52
76

Nakashima B.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d) · Fritz T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw