Taylor Fritz vs Kamil MajchrzakWashington Round of 16

Washington · ATP · Round of 16
#10ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWLWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 29 July 2026 ·
hard
#72ATP
1801ELO
1739Hard ELO
$617kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWWWL
Fritz T.
vs
Majchrzak K.

Taylor Fritz faces Kamil Majchrzak in the Washington round of 16 on hard. Taylor Fritz holds the paper edge — ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 100-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Fritz T.78%
Majchrzak K.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fritz T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
14 common opponents · Fritz T. 10–9 · Majchrzak K. 8–8
Both lost · same surface · 6 months apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+99 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1739
6.4Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1801
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.84 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
63%
Return points won·Even
33%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.9
6.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Majchrzak K.

Majchrzak K.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
71
10
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
90
Break points won·Slight edge
23
12
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Fritz T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR64hardTaylor Fritz6-1 6-1

Draw