Taylor Fritz vs Brandon NakashimaDallas Round of 16

Dallas · ATP · Round of 16
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Fritz T.
6-3 6-4
Nakashima B.
Fritz T.
662
Nakashima B.
340

Taylor Fritz defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-3 6-4 in the Dallas round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16. Taylor Fritz extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Taylor Fritz closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR64hardBrandon Nakashima6-4 4-6 7-6(4)
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardTaylor Fritz6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassTaylor Fritz7-5 3-6 6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fritz T.Nakashima B.
76
Serve
61
32
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
70%
69%
Return points won·Even
33%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.9
9.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
0.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
56
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
60
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+51 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1788
7.1Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1839
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
63
84

Fritz T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast