Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alexander Bublik — Paris Masters Semi-final

Paris Masters · ATP · Semi-final
Felix Auger Aliassime
CAN9
Felix Auger Aliassime
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ13
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Auger Aliassime F.
7-6 6-4
Bublik A.
Auger Aliassime F.
7762
Bublik A.
6340

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Alexander Bublik 7-6 6-4 in the Paris Masters semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Felix Auger Aliassime extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

4–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09RotterdamSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-1 6-2
2025-02-24DubaiR32hardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(7) 6-7(4) 6-3
2024-01-29MontpellierSFhardAlexander Bublik4-6 6-4 6-4
2022-10-24BaselQFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-2 6-3
2020-09-21HamburgR16clayAlexander Bublik6-4 6-2
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersR64hardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(5) 4-0 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Bublik A.
74
Serve
65
44
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Auger Aliassime F.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
67%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
10.0
10.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Auger Aliassime F.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Even
84
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
50
67
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Auger Aliassime F.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Bublik A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+96 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1837
5.8Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1889
5.4
H2H
4.6
8.0
Surface form
6.0
Fatigue & Travel
1.4
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.7
Country comfort
5.6
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Auger Aliassime F.Bublik A.
Freshness·Clear edge
53
66

Auger Aliassime F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-06-1
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Bublik A.[13]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Vacherot V.
6-26-2
Bublik A.[13]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-756-47-5
Sinner J.[2]
Shelton B.[5]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[3]
Medvedev D.[11]
2-66-37-65
R16
Shelton B.[5]
Rublev A.[12]
7-666-3
De Minaur A.[6]
Khachanov K.[10]
6-26-2
Zverev A.[3]
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[2]
Cerundolo F.
7-56-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Sonego L.
3-67-656-4
Vacherot V.
Norrie C.
7-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Altmaier D.
3-66-36-2
Bublik A.[13]
Fritz T.[4]
7-656-2
R32
Medvedev D.[11]
Dimitrov G.
W/O
Shelton B.[5]
Cobolli F.
7-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Kecmanovic M.
7-51-67-64
Sinner J.[2]
Bergs Z.
6-46-2
Rublev A.[12]
Tien L.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.[6]
Diallo G.
7-684-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Muller A.
5-77-657-64
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
6-796-36-4
Altmaier D.
Ruud C.[8]
6-37-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Cazaux A.
7-656-4
Sonego L.
Musetti L.[7]
3-66-36-1
Norrie C.
Alcaraz C.[1]
4-66-36-4
Fritz T.[4]
Vukic A.
7-646-2
Bublik A.[13]
Moutet C.
6-37-5
Zverev A.[3]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-756-17-5
Khachanov K.[10]
Fonseca J.
6-13-66-3
R64
Cazaux A.
Darderi L.
7-657-64
Rinderknech A.
Marozsan F.
7-657-64
Vacherot V.
Lehecka J.[14]
6-16-3
Muller A.
Nakashima B.
6-27-5
Bublik A.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-3
Bergs Z.
Michelsen A.
6-32-66-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Etcheverry T.
7-56-3
Diallo G.
Griekspoor T.
6-36-4
Fonseca J.
Shapovalov D.
5-76-46-3
Dimitrov G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-656-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Munar J.
6-16-3
Tien L.
Borges N.
6-27-67
Cerundolo F.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Sonego L.
Korda S.
6-26-3
Cobolli F.
Machac T.
6-16-4
Altmaier D.
Giron M.
6-27-65
Vukic A.
Atmane T.
6-42-66-4
Norrie C.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[12]
Fearnley J.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Comesana F.
6-726-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Kovacevic A.
6-41-67-62
Moutet C.
Opelka R.
3-67-56-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Royer V.
4-66-16-4
Khachanov K.[10]
Quinn E.
6-16-1