Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alexander BublikRotterdam Semi-final

Rotterdam · ATP · Semi-final
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Auger Aliassime F.
6-1 6-2
Bublik A.
Auger Aliassime F.
662
Bublik A.
120

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Alexander Bublik 6-1 6-2 in the Rotterdam semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 32. Felix Auger Aliassime extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(3) 6-4
2025-02-24DubaiR32hardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(7) 6-7(4) 6-3
2024-01-29MontpellierSFhardAlexander Bublik4-6 6-4 6-4
2022-10-24BaselQFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-2 6-3
2020-09-21HamburgR16clayAlexander Bublik6-4 6-2
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersR64hardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(5) 4-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Bublik A.
74
Serve
65
44
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
70%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Even
65%
68%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.8
10.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
84
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
50
67
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+96 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1837
5.8Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1889
7.2
H2H
2.8
6.8
Surface form
7.6
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
59
70

Auger Aliassime F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
3°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 97%