Alexander Bublik vs Felix Auger AliassimeMontpellier Semi-final

Montpellier · ATP · Semi-final
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 January 2024
hard
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Bublik A.
4-6 6-4 6-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Bublik A.
4662
Auger Aliassime F.
6441

Alexander Bublik defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the Montpellier semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09RotterdamSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-1 6-2
2025-10-27Paris MastersSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(3) 6-4
2025-02-24DubaiR32hardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(7) 6-7(4) 6-3
2022-10-24BaselQFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-2 6-3
2020-09-21HamburgR16clayAlexander Bublik6-4 6-2
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersR64hardFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(5) 4-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Auger Aliassime F.
65
Serve
74
25
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
11.1
9.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (140 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
84
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
67
50
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1837
Surface ELO
6.1+96 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1958
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.9
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
3.9
7.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.3
Country comfort
5.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
74
64

Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Auger Aliassime F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 86%