Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakina — US Open Round of 16
JPN13
KAZ2
Osaka N.
Elena Rybakina advanced to the quarterfinals of the US Open by defeating Naomi Osaka in the Round of 16, 6-1, 6-4. Rybakina hit 7 aces and committed 1 double fault, while Osaka hit 2 aces and 5 double faults. Rybakina converted 38% of her break points and won 3 service breaks to Osaka's 0.
Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.
Key context
- Match story: Elena Rybakina dropped just 5 games past Naomi Osaka.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Toronto | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-4 6-7(5) 4-6 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Rybakina E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadOsaka N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About