Talia Gibson vs Naomi OsakaMiami Round of 64

Miami · WTA · Round of 64
#58WTA
1737ELO
1764Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
hard
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Gibson T.
7-5 6-4
Osaka N.
Gibson T.
762
Osaka N.
540

Talia Gibson defeated Naomi Osaka 7-5 6-4 in the Miami round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Talia Gibson claimed a first win over Naomi Osaka in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR128grassNaomi Osaka6-4 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Gibson T.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gibson T.

Serve advantage — Gibson T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gibson T.Osaka N.
60
Serve
70
0
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.2
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
91
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
96
Break points won·Dominant
70
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
90
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1764
Surface ELO
6.4+157 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1737
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.5
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
7.3
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
82

Gibson T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Osaka N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw