Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova — US Open Round of 16

US Open · WTA · Round of 16
Marta Kostyuk
UKR11
Marta Kostyuk
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 6 September 2026 ·
hard
Louis Armstrong Stadium · 1st on
Linda Noskova
CZE6
Linda Noskova
#6WTA
1976ELO
1913Hard ELO
$6.2MYTD
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Kostyuk M.
5-7 7-5 4-6
Noskova L.
Kostyuk M.
5741
Noskova L.
7562

Linda Noskova defeated Marta Kostyuk in the Round of 16 at the US Open, advancing with a 7-5, 5-7, 6-4 victory. The match saw Noskova post 0 aces and 6 double faults, while Kostyuk had 7 aces and 5 double faults. Both players converted 80% of break points and won 4 service breaks each.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Around the match

  • “It was such a tough match from the beginning to the very end. I somehow pulled it off, and I'm happy and very relieved.”

    Noskova L.wtatennis.com ↗

  • “I am more than relieved. This match was so tough, emotionally more than physically. There were a lot of crucial points, and I feel like a huge rock fell off my heart at the end.”

    Noskova L.wtatennis.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above. Lines marked “Umpiry summary” are written by Umpiry from the linked article, not quoted from it.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-09WimbledonSFgrassLinda Noskova4-6 4-6
2026-04-21MadridQFclayMarta Kostyuk7-6 6-0
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Kostyuk M.Noskova L.
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
6.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kostyuk M.Noskova L.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
92
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
86
Break points won·Slight edge
94
89
Deciding sets·Even
95
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Kostyuk M.57%
Noskova L.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kostyuk M.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Noskova L.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1913
6.0Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1976
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.76 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kostyuk M.Noskova L.
Freshness·Clear edge
71
48

Kostyuk M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Noskova L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 116 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw