Karolina Muchova vs Marta KostyukWuhan Round of 64

Wuhan · WTA · Round of 64
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#13WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Muchova K.
2-6 6-2 6-4
Kostyuk M.
Muchova K.
2662
Kostyuk M.
6241

Karolina Muchova defeated Marta Kostyuk 2-6 6-2 6-4 in the Wuhan round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR16hardKarolina Muchova6-3 6-7(0) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Kostyuk M.
70
Serve
53
44
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Even
94
98
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+67 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1968
5.7Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 2057
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
7.1
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
7.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
60
65

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Kostyuk M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw