Linda Noskova vs Jessica PegulaBeijing Semi-final

Beijing · WTA · Semi-final
#12WTA
1976ELO
1913Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$5.9MCAREER
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Noskova L.
6-3 1-6 7-6
Pegula J.
Noskova L.
61782
Pegula J.
36661

Linda Noskova defeated Jessica Pegula 6-3 1-6 7-6 in the Beijing semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, defending last year's round of 16. Linda Noskova extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Linda Noskova closed it out in three sets, 6–3 1–6 7–6.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-21BerlinFgrassLinda Noskova4-6 6-4 3-6
2025-06-22Bad HomburgSFgrassJessica Pegula6-7(2) 7-5 6-1
2025-02-17DubaiR16hardLinda Noskova6-3 7-6(8)

Serve vs return

This season
Noskova L.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving85% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Noskova L.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Noskova L.Pegula J.
66
Serve
68
0
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
96
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Slight edge
92
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 37 days (−0.7)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1913
Surface ELO
6.9+145 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1976
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 2097
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.3
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
52
76

Noskova L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 93 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

Semi-finals
Anisimova A.[3]
Gauff C.[2]
6-16-2
Noskova L.[26]
Pegula J.[5]
6-31-67-66