Jesper De Jong vs Ognjen Milic — Cattolica Round of 32

Cattolica · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
NED
Jesper De Jong
#83ATP
1651ELO
1647Clay ELO
$261kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
CAMPO 2 · 3rd on
SRB
Ognjen Milic
#358ATP
1427ELO
1448Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW

Jesper De Jong reeled off six straight games on the way to a 6-1 7-6 win over Ognjen Milic in the Cattolica round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 1: Ognjen Milic broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 6: A 13-point game with four deuces went Ognjen Milic's way.
  • Pressure points: Jesper De Jong converted 4 of 9 break points; Ognjen Milic converted 1 of 2 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
De Jong J.94%
Milic O.6%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · De Jong J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Jong J.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Milic O.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.5+199 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Clay Elo 1448
7.8Overall Elo 1651
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1427
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

De Jong J.
6772
Milic O.
1630

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 39%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
De Jong J.Milic O.
58%1st serve in+7%51%
70%1st serve points won+7%77%
48%2nd serve points won+4%52%
60%Service points won+4%64%
40%Return points won+3%37%
58%Break points saved+3%61%
6.5Aces / match6.5
4.1Double faults / match+0.73.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw