Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone — Cattolica Round of 16

Cattolica · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

ITAQ

Francesco Forti

#396ATP

1324ELO

1288Clay ELO

26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLWWWLLW

—

Sets

Wednesday, 10 June 2026 · 13:00

clay

CAMPO CENTRALE · 3rd on

ITA

Franco Agamenone

#246ATP

1474ELO

1455Clay ELO

33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWLWWLWW

Francesco Forti faces Franco Agamenone in the Cattolica round of 16 on clay. Franco Agamenone is the paper favourite — ranked #246, a roughly 170-point clay Elo advantage — but Francesco Forti rides a 3-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Franco Agamenone dropped the opening set before beating Michele Ribecai 3–6 7–6 6–3.
Last match: Francesco Forti edged Gonzalo Bueno in three tight sets (7–5 4–6 7–6).
Fatigue load: Francesco Forti carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Win streak: Francesco Forti arrives on a 3-match winning run.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:20 UTC

Forti F.34%

Agamenone F.66%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Agamenone F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Forti F.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Agamenone F.

7.5

Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

2.9Clay Elo 1288

Surface ELO

7.1+167 Clay Elo edge

3.1Overall Elo 1324

ELO gap

6.9Overall Elo 1474

5.0First meeting on clay

H2H

5.0First meeting on clay

7.57 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

7.07 of last 10 on clay

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

7.6Home country · 3/5 here

Country comfort

8.0Home country · 2/3 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

3rd on CAMPO CENTRALE · not before Followed By · 2 matches still to finish ahead

Conditions

Weather forecast

32°CMainly clear

Wind 20 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Forti F.Agamenone F.

65%1st serve in+2%67%

72%1st serve points won+7%65%

52%2nd serve points won+6%46%

65%Service points won+6%59%

35%Return points won+9%44%

61%Break points saved+2%63%

6.8Aces / match+51.8

1.9Double faults / match+12.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.