Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover — Cattolica Round of 16
Cattolica · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
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Sets
Thursday, 11 June 2026 ·
clay
Enrico Dalla Valle faces Carlos Sanchez Jover in the Cattolica round of 16 on clay. Carlos Sanchez Jover is the paper favourite — ranked #389 — but Enrico Dalla Valle arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Carlos Sanchez Jover's 5.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Carlos Sanchez Jover carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Enrico Dalla Valle 7 of 10, Carlos Sanchez Jover 5 of 10 on clay recently — Enrico Dalla Valle the sharper of late.
- Win streak: Carlos Sanchez Jover arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:21 UTCDalla Valle E.73%
Sanchez Jover C.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Dalla Valle E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
6.9+149 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO3.1Clay Elo 1285
7.0Overall Elo 1460
ELO gap3.0Overall Elo 1304
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.45 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
10.0Home country · 1/1 here
Country comfortContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 54%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form72%1st serve in+7%65%
66%1st serve points won+3%63%
54%2nd serve points won+6%48%
62%Service points won+4%58%
41%Return points won+2%43%
63%Break points saved+4%59%
3.3Aces / match+1.51.8
0.6Double faults / match+2.43
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Dalla Valle E.
Sanchez Jover C.
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