Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio — Cattolica Round of 16

Cattolica · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

GBR

Liam Broady

#209ATP

1623ELO

1487Clay ELO

32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Wednesday, 10 June 2026 · 11:30

clay

CAMPO CENTRALE · 2nd on

ITA

Raul Brancaccio

#237ATP

1503ELO

1480Clay ELO

29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLLLWWLL

Liam Broady faces Raul Brancaccio in the Cattolica round of 16 on clay. Liam Broady holds the paper edge — ranked #209.

Key context

Last match: Raul Brancaccio won all two sets in tiebreaks against Pierluigi Basile.
Fatigue load: Liam Broady carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Liam Broady 4 of 7, Raul Brancaccio 2 of 7 on clay recently — Liam Broady the sharper of late.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:20 UTC

Broady L.76%

Brancaccio R.24%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Broady L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Broady L.

6.7

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Brancaccio R.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.1+7 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.9Clay Elo 1480

6.5Overall Elo 1622

ELO gap

3.5Overall Elo 1503

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.77 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

3.33 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Country comfort

7.0Home country · 2/4 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

2nd on CAMPO CENTRALE · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

Conditions

Weather forecast

29°CMainly clear

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Broady L.Brancaccio R.

63%1st serve in+2%61%

70%1st serve points won+5%65%

58%2nd serve points won+8%50%

66%Service points won+7%59%

47%Return points won+5%42%

65%Break points saved+7%58%

2.6Aces / match+1.31.3

1.1Double faults / match+1.82.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.