Gonzalo Bueno vs Francesco Forti — Cattolica Round of 32

Cattolica · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

PER

Gonzalo Bueno

#180ATP

1516ELO

1506Clay ELO

$71kYTD

$286kCAREER

22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLWWLWWLW

1 — 2

Sets

Tuesday, 9 June 2026 · 11:55

clay

CAMPO CENTRALE · 2nd on

ITAQ

Francesco Forti

#396ATP

1324ELO

1288Clay ELO

26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLWWWLLWW

Francesco Forti took the decider 7-6 to defeat Gonzalo Bueno in the Cattolica round of 32.

Key context

Set 1, game 4: Francesco Forti broke serve.
Set 2, game 3: A 15-point game with five deuces went Francesco Forti's way.
Pressure points: Gonzalo Bueno converted 4 of 9 break points; Francesco Forti converted 4 of 10 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:21 UTC

Bueno G.77%

Forti F.23%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bueno G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Bueno G.

7.1

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Forti F.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.7+218 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.3Clay Elo 1288

7.4Overall Elo 1516

ELO gap

2.6Overall Elo 1324

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.16 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.66 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Country comfort

7.0Home country · 2/4 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Bueno G.

566²1

Forti F.

747⁷2

Conditions

Weather

29°CClear

Wind 2 km/hHumidity 36%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Bueno G.Forti F.

57%1st serve in+8%65%

64%1st serve points won+8%72%

47%2nd serve points won+5%52%

56%Service points won+9%65%

45%Return points won+10%35%

60%Break points saved+1%61%

1Aces / match+5.86.8

3.8Double faults / match+1.91.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.