Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina — Cattolica Round of 32
Cattolica · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#231ATP
1526ELO
1494Clay ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 June 2026 ·
clay
CAMPO CENTRALE · 4th on
#107ATP
1677ELO
1606Clay ELO
$232kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWW
Andrea Guerrieri got past Dalibor Svrcina 6-3 3-6 6-4 in the Cattolica round of 32 on clay.
Key context
- Set 1, game 8: A 13-point game with four deuces went Andrea Guerrieri's way.
- Set 2, game 3: Dalibor Svrcina saved three break points to hold serve.
- Set 3, game 7: A 13-point game with four deuces went Andrea Guerrieri's way.
- Pressure points: Andrea Guerrieri converted 8 of 16 break points; Dalibor Svrcina converted 7 of 12 break points.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTCGuerrieri A.28%
Svrcina D.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Svrcina D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1494
Surface ELO6.4+111 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap6.9Overall Elo 1676
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.36 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Home country
Country comfortContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Guerrieri A.
6362
Svrcina D.
3641
Conditions
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 46%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form61%1st serve in+2%63%
67%1st serve points won+2%65%
46%2nd serve points won+5%51%
59%Service points won+1%60%
46%Return points won46%
65%Break points saved+4%61%
1.9Aces / match+0.31.6
4.7Double faults / match+13.7
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Guerrieri A.
Svrcina D.
6-33-66-4
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