Max Hans Rehberg vs Roberto Carballes BaenaCattolica Round of 32

Cattolica · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#526ATP
1515ELO
1430Clay ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
CAMPO CENTRALE · 1st on
#191ATP
1617ELO
1600Clay ELO
$111kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL

Roberto Carballes Baena won five games in a row to see off Max Hans Rehberg 6-4 6-4 in the Cattolica round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 1: Roberto Carballes Baena broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 2: Max Hans Rehberg broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Max Hans Rehberg converted 2 of 2 break points; Roberto Carballes Baena converted 4 of 6 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:20 UTC
Rehberg M.41%
Carballes Baena R.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Carballes Baena R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1430
Surface ELO
7.1+170 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1515
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1616
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Rehberg M.
440
Carballes Baena R.
662

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 39%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
72%1st serve in+6%66%
70%1st serve points won70%
55%2nd serve points won+6%49%
66%Service points won+3%63%
41%Return points won+3%38%
69%Break points saved+11%58%
2.9Aces / match+24.9
1.6Double faults / match+12.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.