Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla — Cattolica Round of 16

Cattolica · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

SRB

Dusan Lajovic

#140ATP

1641ELO

1611Clay ELO

$175kYTD

$11MCAREER

35 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

clay

ESP

Oriol Roca Batalla

#327ATP

1449ELO

1424Clay ELO

33 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWWWLWLL

Dusan Lajovic faces Oriol Roca Batalla in the Cattolica round of 16 on clay. Dusan Lajovic holds the paper edge — ranked #140, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:21 UTC

Lajovic D.65%

Roca Batalla O.35%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lajovic D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Lajovic D.

7.1

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Roca Batalla O.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

7.3+187 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.7Clay Elo 1424

7.4Overall Elo 1641

ELO gap

2.6Overall Elo 1449

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.86 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.46 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

5.4Won 56% in ITA (25)

Country comfort

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

23°COvercast

Wind 10 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Lajovic D.Roca Batalla O.

69%1st serve in+9%60%

68%1st serve points won+5%73%

52%2nd serve points won52%

63%Service points won+1%64%

37%Return points won+3%40%

52%Break points saved+10%62%

3.9Aces / match+0.54.4

1.2Double faults / match+0.61.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.