Liam Broady vs Ioannis Xilas — Cattolica Round of 32

Cattolica · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

GBR

Liam Broady

#209ATP

1623ELO

1487Clay ELO

32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWWLLWLW

2 — 1

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 14:10

clay

CAMPO 3 · 2nd on

GREALT

Ioannis Xilas

#356ATP

1348ELO

1374Clay ELO

25 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLLLLLWWW

Liam Broady broke serve in the third set to take control and defeat Ioannis Xilas 6-3 3-6 6-2 in the Cattolica round of 32.

Key context

Set 3, game 4: A 15-point game with five deuces went Liam Broady's way.
Pressure points: Liam Broady converted 6 of 14 break points; Ioannis Xilas converted 4 of 10 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:20 UTC

Broady L.96%

Xilas I.4%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Broady L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Broady L.

6.9

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Xilas I.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

6.4+113 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.6Clay Elo 1374

8.4Overall Elo 1622

ELO gap

1.6Overall Elo 1348

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.76 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 6

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Broady L.

6362

Xilas I.

3621

Conditions

Weather

27°CClear

Wind 11 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Broady L.Xilas I.

63%1st serve in+1%64%

70%1st serve points won+8%62%

58%2nd serve points won+7%51%

66%Service points won+8%58%

47%Return points won+5%42%

65%Break points saved+17%48%

2.6Aces / match+1.90.7

1.1Double faults / match+1.72.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.