Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato — Cattolica Round of 32

Cattolica · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ITAWC
Federico Bondioli
#341ATP
1338ELO
1332Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
CAMPO CENTRALE · 5th on
ITAQ
Carlo Alberto Caniato
#353ATP
1376ELO
1384Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWWL

It took 36 games for Federico Bondioli to get past Carlo Alberto Caniato 7-6 6-7 6-4 in the Cattolica round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 8: A 13-point game with four deuces went Carlo Alberto Caniato's way.
  • Set 1, game 8: Carlo Alberto Caniato saved five break points to hold serve.
  • Set 3, game 7: Federico Bondioli broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Federico Bondioli converted 1 of 5 break points; Carlo Alberto Caniato converted 0 of 5 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Bondioli F.41%
Caniato C.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Caniato C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bondioli F.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Caniato C.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1332
Surface ELO
5.6+52 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1338
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1376
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
3.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.0Home country
Country comfort
10.0Home country · 2/2 here
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Bondioli F.
776562
Caniato C.
637741

Conditions

Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 49%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Bondioli F.Caniato C.
63%1st serve in+1%62%
67%1st serve points won+4%71%
49%2nd serve points won+5%54%
60%Service points won+5%65%
40%Return points won+5%35%
57%Break points saved+2%59%
3.1Aces / match+1.74.8
3.5Double faults / match+0.62.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw