Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Matej Dodig — Cattolica Round of 32

Cattolica · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ESPQ
Carlos Sanchez Jover
#389ATP
1304ELO
1285Clay ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
CAMPO 3 · 2nd on
CRO
Matej Dodig
#199ATP
1478ELO
1452Clay ELO
20 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWWL

A decisive break in the second set settled it as Carlos Sanchez Jover got past Matej Dodig 6-4 6-4 in the Cattolica round of 32.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Carlos Sanchez Jover converted 2 of 4 break points; Matej Dodig converted 0 of 1 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:21 UTC
Sanchez Jover C.24%
Dodig M.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dodig M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sanchez Jover C.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Dodig M.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1285
Surface ELO
7.1+167 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1304
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1478
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sanchez Jover C.
662
Dodig M.
440

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 34%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Sanchez Jover C.Dodig M.
65%1st serve in+1%66%
63%1st serve points won+6%69%
48%2nd serve points won+3%51%
58%Service points won+5%63%
43%Return points won+7%36%
59%Break points saved+1%58%
1.8Aces / match+3.35.1
3Double faults / match+1.51.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw