Maks Kasnikowski vs Enrico Dalla Valle

Cattolica · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

POLALT

Maks Kasnikowski

#281ATP

1422ELO

1464Clay ELO

22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLLWLWWW

0 — 2

Sets

Tuesday, 9 June 2026 · 16:45

clay

CAMPO CENTRALE · 4th on

ITAWC

Enrico Dalla Valle

#441ATP

1461ELO

1434Clay ELO

28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLWWLWWW

Enrico Dalla Valle won five games in a row to see off Maks Kasnikowski 7-5 6-2 in the Cattolica round of 32.

Key context

Set 2, game 2: Enrico Dalla Valle broke serve.
Pressure points: Maks Kasnikowski converted 1 of 4 break points; Enrico Dalla Valle converted 4 of 11 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC

Kasnikowski M.47%

Dalla Valle E.53%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Kasnikowski M.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Dalla Valle E.

6.8

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.4+30 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.6Clay Elo 1434

4.5Overall Elo 1422

ELO gap

5.5Overall Elo 1460

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.25 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.57 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Country comfort

7.0Home country

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Kasnikowski M.

520

Dalla Valle E.

762

Conditions

Weather

29°CClear

Wind 17 km/hHumidity 39%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Kasnikowski M.Dalla Valle E.

61%1st serve in+11%72%

72%1st serve points won+6%66%

58%2nd serve points won+4%54%

66%Service points won+4%62%

41%Return points won41%

58%Break points saved+5%63%

3.8Aces / match+0.53.3

1.1Double faults / match+0.50.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Maks Kasnikowski vs Enrico Dalla Valle — Cattolica Round of 32