

Daria Kasatkina advanced when Paula Badosa retired 6-4 0-0 in the Ningbo semi-final. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 4–3.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | R32 | clay | Daria Kasatkina | 6-1 7-5 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Paula Badosa | 7-6 4-6 6-4 |
| 2023-04-17 | Stuttgart | R32 | clay | Paula Badosa | 6-1 6-1 |
| 2022-08-01 | San Jose | SF | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome | R16 | clay | Daria Kasatkina | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-01-10 | Sydney | SF | hard | Paula Badosa | 6-2 6-2 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (120 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Kasatkina D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Badosa P.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 89 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About