Danielle Collins vs Daria KasatkinaCharleston Final

Charleston · WTA · Final
#701WTA
1844ELO
1809Clay ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 April 2024
clay
#63WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Collins D.
6-2 6-1
Kasatkina D.
Collins D.
662
Kasatkina D.
210

Danielle Collins defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-2 6-1 in the Charleston final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's semi-final, but Danielle Collins had arrived on a 7-match winning run. Danielle Collins narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-02San JoseFhardDanielle Collins6-3 6-7(10) 6-1
2021-02-13Phillip Island TrophySFhardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-7(6) 6-1
2018-05-14RomeR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Collins D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Collins D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
1.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.8
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
80
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+39 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1770
5.4Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
6.9
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.9
Minutes 14d
8.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.4
Country comfort
5.5
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 70%